To make some sense, assuming that R1 acts as the probe sensor, you should replace it by a smaller value in the range of some houndred kohms, as well tie Q1 emmiter to GND. The voltage measured at Q1 collector could be understood like the water detection. Obviously, Q1 should have a high gain, prefereably the darlington type.
In my oppinion, you could think about use another approach, not with a BJN trnsistor, but with a MOSFET. Anyway, still on the current circuit, you must be aware that the water conductance varies significantly acording to its temperature and ions dissolved there.