A year or so ago, I researched this very subject, and read all of the scientific papers I could find about it, all the way back to the 1940s (I had full IEEE access at the time.).
It turns out to be "surprisingly complex", as many of the authors stated. And I agree.
It's not too difficult to get approximate equations. But there is no general closed-form solution. It always comes down to trying to solve for when the rising sinusoid of the input intersects the decaying exponential of the capacitor. And that is a transcendental equation with no closed-form solution.
By the way, your circuit wouldn't give you the right equation for a power supply that had your voltage source feeding a transformer, as it probably would be in many cases, because you also need to model at least the windings' leakage inductances and resistances, sine they can make the rectifier output go higher than the input voltage.
Anyway, ignoring that last problem for a moment, you can get equations that are very close to being accurate by using a trick or two. One good one is to use the Taylor Series expansion for either the input sinusoid or the exponential capacitor voltage, or both. Usually just the first term or two of the series is used and the expressions are then linear.
You still have a second-order differential equation when the rectifier is conducting (if you include leakage inductance of a transformer) and a first-order differential equation when the rectifier is not conducting. But at least you can get a close approximation of when to switch between the two. You could also assume that the output current is constant into an active DC load (e.g. an amplifier with a square wave signal), which automatically makes the cap voltage decay linearly, which helps.
In my case, I decided to go for an "exact" solution, using numerical techniques to solve the differential equations (and model the non-linear diode behavior). I wrote a VBA macro for MS Excel that did it, using a fourth-order Runge-Kutta algorithm to help solve the differential equations. Since I assumed a constant-current load (the worst case for an audio amplifier, with current equal to the peak, not RMS, current that a sine-wave output signal would have, AT THE RATED MAX POWER), I was able to derive exact closed-form equations for when the rectifier turned on and off. But that might only be possible for a numerical solution, because, during the numerical iterations, all of the derivatives are also available! (I have attached the short paper I wrote about it.)
if you are just trying to size the power supply components for an application, then it's much easier. All you really need to know is the maximum average or RMS load current, or the peak or RMS output voltage or current assuming a sinusoidal signal with an active load. And you need to know the AC Mains frequency.
Then you can start with the ideal capacitor equation,
i = C dv/dt
and then use an approximate version of it, like I gave in the post at
https://www.edaboard.com/threads/292663/ ,
but with the worst-case Δt set to
Δt = 1 / (2 fmains)
For certain types of active loads, you get free help in finding the constraints for the Δv (the max p-p ripple voltage). You might also have to modify the equation I gave, to account for your extra resistor.
Also, if your load is an amplifier, or a regulator, don't forget to account for the clipping or dropout voltage. For an amplifier, that would be the minimum voltage between the power rail connection and the output, which is typically between 2 and 6 volts (e.g. Vce_min + the voltage across a small emitter resistor). In that case, you'd have to use something like
Δv_max = Vrail_peak - Vclip - V_signal_peak
It's surprising how many people forget that the amplifier has to occupy some voltage space between the top of the signal peak and the bottom of the ripple voltage.
Also don't forget to account for the transformer regulation, and higher and lower than normal AC Mains voltages.
Edit: The next post reminded me that I forgot to say: I always advise everyone to simply use LT-Spice, or some other simulator, when designing or investigating a linear power supply circuit.
If you want to find the technical and scientific papers on how to write and solve the equations for your circuit, search for things like "uncontrolled single phase rectifier circuit equation*".
Cheers,
Tom
View attachment Analysis of an Uncontrolled Single-Phase Power Supply Rectifier Circuit - Gootee - dV9.pdf
View attachment Rated Maximum Output Power vs Reservoir Capacitance et al.doc